StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Newcastle United v Arsenal

2026-11-21 17:30 UTC — EPL

Direkter Vergleich

35 Wettanbieter (9 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Newcastle United (Heim)

Prognose 17.94%5.57faire Quote
EV +3.14%
Vorteil +0.546%
Kelly +0.661%
Wachstum +0.021%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.86%17.87%17.91%19.49%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.405.285.305.7522.73%18.93%18.87%17.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arsenal (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.42%1.68faire Quote
EV -2.55%
Vorteil -1.55%
Kelly -3.98%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.64

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.84%59.42%59.53%60.89%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.431.571.571.6469.93%63.80%63.69%60.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.64%4.42faire Quote
EV +0.063%
Vorteil +0.014%
Kelly +0.018%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.42

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.81%22.71%22.56%23.92%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.804.124.104.4226.32%24.29%24.39%22.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Newcastle United (Heim): 17.94%; Arsenal (Auswärts): 59.42%; Unentschieden: 22.64%. Für Newcastle United (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.57. 7 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 5.75 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +3.14%.

Wettanbieterquoten (35 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.86%EV +3.14%E +0.546%K +0.661%G +0.021%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-02 12:19
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 12:20
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-02 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV +0.451%E +0.081%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 12:20
1xBet🎯5.54I 18.05%NM 17.76%EV -0.625%E -0.113%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.99%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 22.26%EV +0.063%E +0.014%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.7%2026-11-02 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.39%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.69%EV -3.14%E -1.93%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-02 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-02 12:44
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -1.97%E -0.456%K -0.593%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-02 12:19
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-02 12:19
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.34%E -0.244%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.76%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.94%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.30%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 12:19
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -3.14%E -0.581%K -0.713%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 12:20
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:19
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-02 12:20
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -4.93%E -0.930%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-02 12:20
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.65%E -0.617%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-02 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -3.79%E -0.891%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-02 12:20
Dabble (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -5.83%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-02 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -8.52%E -1.67%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-02 12:20
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -3.73%E -2.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-02 12:20
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 12:20
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.70%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 15:29
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.18%E -1.75%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-02 13:39
ReBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.31%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.45%E -2.36%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-02 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-02 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.60%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.30%EV -15.02%E -10.51%K -34.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.11%EV -11.71%E -3.00%K -4.04%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-02 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -14.80%E -3.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.80%EV -11.46%E -7.69%K -23.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -12.84%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-02 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.49%EV -21.07%E -4.79%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 57.94%EV -12.05%E -8.14%K -25.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -13.97%E -3.68%K -4.99%G +0.000%16.6%2026-11-02 12:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.