Language:English
Crystal Palace v Newcastle United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Crystal Palace (Local)
Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.05%34.21%34.09%36.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.712.752.8840.82%36.86%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Newcastle United (Visit)
Prediction 38.47%2.60fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.745%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.22%38.50%38.41%39.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.442.452.5546.51%41.04%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.40%3.65fair odd
EV +1.39%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +0.515%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.49%27.29%27.50%28.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.09%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Crystal Palace (Local): 34.13%; Newcastle United (Visit): 38.47%; Draw: 27.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.29%EV -2.06%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.90%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.81%EV +0.569%E +0.155%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.95%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -0.801%E -0.221%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%EV -6.52%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -10.25%E -3.90%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.72%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 13:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.90%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.53%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 13:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -6.28%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 17:31 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -7.52%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.38%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 06:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 04:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.06%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-20 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.10%EV -14.00%E -5.56%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%EV -13.82%E -6.17%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.54%EV -14.50%E -4.65%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-20 06:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.69%E -5.87%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28% | 16.4% | 2026-03-22 14:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97% | 77.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97% | 77.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97% | 77.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |