La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Crystal Palace v Newcastle United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Crystal Palace (Local)
Predicción 34.13%2.93momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.596%
Kelly -0.914%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.05%34.21%34.09%36.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.712.752.8840.82%36.86%36.36%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newcastle United (Visitante)
Predicción 38.47%2.60momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.745%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.22%38.50%38.41%39.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.442.452.5546.51%41.04%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.40%3.65momio equitativo
EV +1.39%
Ventaja +0.376%
Kelly +0.515%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.49%27.29%27.50%28.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.09%28.99%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.29%EV -2.06%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.90%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.81%EV +0.569%E +0.155%K +0.213%G +0.001% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.95%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -0.801%E -0.221%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%EV -6.52%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 19:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -10.25%E -3.90%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.72%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 11:00 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Bally Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-16 10:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 13:53 |
| theScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.90%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.53%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-16 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-16 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -6.28%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 14:05 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 17:31 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 00:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 17:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -7.52%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.38%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 06:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:24 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 04:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| TAB | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.06%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-20 06:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.10%EV -14.00%E -5.56%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%EV -13.82%E -6.17%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.54%EV -14.50%E -4.65%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-20 06:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.69%E -5.87%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28% | 16.4% | 2026-03-22 14:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97% | 77.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97% | 77.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97% | 77.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |