A Escola das Odds

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Crystal Palace (Local)

Previsão 34.13%2.93odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.596%
Kelly -0.914%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.05%34.21%34.09%36.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.712.752.8840.82%36.86%36.36%34.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Newcastle United (Visitante)

Previsão 38.47%2.60odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.745%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.22%38.50%38.41%39.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.442.452.5546.51%41.04%40.82%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.40%3.65odd justa
EV +1.39%
Vantagem +0.376%
Kelly +0.515%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.49%27.29%27.50%28.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.09%28.99%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007%5.6%2026-03-21 12:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007%6.0%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 34.29%EV -2.06%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.90%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.81%EV +0.569%E +0.155%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.6%2026-03-22 14:14
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.95%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -0.801%E -0.221%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:29
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:30
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%EV -6.52%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -10.25%E -3.90%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.72%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 10:25
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 11:00
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:30
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 10:25
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 13:53
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:35
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:40
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 33.90%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.53%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 13:20
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 13:00
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 09:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 10:24
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 09:30
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -6.28%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 14:05
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:31
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 09:30
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 00:10
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 09:30
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 17:29
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 12:25
MyBookie.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -7.52%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.38%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 06:20
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:24
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:24
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:30
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 17:10
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:29
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 04:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 09:29
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 09:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 09:29
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.06%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-20 06:20
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.10%EV -14.00%E -5.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%EV -13.82%E -6.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.54%EV -14.50%E -4.65%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-20 06:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.69%E -5.87%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%16.4%2026-03-22 14:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50