Die Schule der Quoten

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Crystal Palace (Heim)

Prognose 34.13%2.93faire Quote
EV -1.72%
Vorteil -0.596%
Kelly -0.914%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
33.05%34.21%34.09%36.00%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.452.712.752.8840.82%36.86%36.36%34.72%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Newcastle United (Auswärts)

Prognose 38.47%2.60faire Quote
EV -1.90%
Vorteil -0.745%
Kelly -1.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.22%38.50%38.41%39.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.152.442.452.5546.51%41.04%40.82%39.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.40%3.65faire Quote
EV +1.39%
Vorteil +0.376%
Kelly +0.515%
Wachstum +0.007%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.49%27.29%27.50%28.54%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.09%28.99%27.03%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007%5.6%2026-03-21 12:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007%6.0%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 34.29%EV -2.06%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.90%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.81%EV +0.569%E +0.155%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.6%2026-03-22 14:14
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.95%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -0.801%E -0.221%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:29
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:30
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%EV -6.52%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -10.25%E -3.90%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.72%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 10:25
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 11:00
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:30
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 10:25
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 13:53
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:35
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:40
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 33.90%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.53%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 13:20
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 13:00
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 09:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 10:24
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 09:30
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -6.28%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 14:05
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:31
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 09:30
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 00:10
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 09:30
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 17:29
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 12:25
MyBookie.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -7.52%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.38%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 06:20
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:24
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:24
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:30
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 17:10
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:29
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 04:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 09:29
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 09:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 09:29
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.06%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-20 06:20
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.10%EV -14.00%E -5.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%EV -13.82%E -6.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.54%EV -14.50%E -4.65%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-20 06:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.69%E -5.87%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%16.4%2026-03-22 14:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50