مدرسة الاحتمالات

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United

البداية: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Crystal Palace (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.13%2.93السعر العادل
EV -1.72%
الأفضلية -0.596%
Kelly -0.914%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.05%34.21%34.09%36.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.452.712.752.8840.82%36.86%36.36%34.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Newcastle United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.47%2.60السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -0.745%
Kelly -1.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.22%38.50%38.41%39.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.442.452.5546.51%41.04%40.82%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.40%3.65السعر العادل
EV +1.39%
الأفضلية +0.376%
Kelly +0.515%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.49%27.29%27.50%28.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.443.453.7033.33%29.09%28.99%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007%5.6%2026-03-21 12:25
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV +1.39%E +0.376%K +0.515%G +0.007%6.0%2026-03-21 12:25
1xBet2.87I 34.84%NM 34.29%EV -2.06%E -0.717%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.90%EV -2.67%E -1.05%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.81%EV +0.569%E +0.155%K +0.213%G +0.001%1.6%2026-03-22 14:14
Marathon Bet2.83I 35.34%NM 34.27%EV -3.42%E -1.21%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.95%EV -4.21%E -1.69%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.79%EV -0.801%E -0.221%K -0.306%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 14:04
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:29
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -1.90%E -0.745%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-16 10:30
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.13%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.33%EV -6.52%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 19:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -10.25%E -3.90%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-21 12:25
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -10.59%E -4.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -1.35%E -0.375%K -0.519%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.79%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -2.72%E -0.766%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 10:25
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 11:00
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:25
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.55%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 10:30
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-16 10:25
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 13:53
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.09%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 16:35
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 33.53%EV -1.72%E -0.596%K -0.914%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.63%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.83%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:40
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 33.90%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -4.98%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.53%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-16 13:20
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 13:00
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.05%EV -3.77%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.11%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 13:00
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 09:30
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-16 10:24
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -5.46%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-16 09:30
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.37%EV -5.47%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.05%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.84%EV -6.28%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 14:05
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.87%EV -4.45%E -1.59%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.24%EV -4.59%E -1.85%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.89%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 17:31
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 09:30
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -2.74%E -0.962%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 00:10
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-16 09:30
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.84%EV -8.82%E -3.72%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 17:29
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -6.83%E -2.01%K -2.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 12:25
MyBookie.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -7.52%E -2.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.43%EV -7.28%E -3.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.40%EV -7.38%E -2.18%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 06:20
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:24
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.59%E -4.08%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.20%E -2.45%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:24
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:30
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 17:10
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:30
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.75%E -2.35%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 09:29
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -6.15%E -2.24%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 04:30
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.86%E -2.91%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.57%E -2.90%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 09:29
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -7.67%E -3.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -9.57%E -3.61%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.94%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 09:29
Parions Sport (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.27%E -4.34%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.44%E -5.97%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.31%E -3.85%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-16 09:29
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 34.28%EV -16.39%E -6.69%K -11.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.06%EV -17.29%E -8.04%K -15.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.66%EV -13.68%E -4.34%K -6.36%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-20 06:20
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 34.10%EV -14.00%E -5.56%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%EV -13.82%E -6.17%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.54%EV -14.50%E -4.65%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-20 06:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -14.69%E -5.87%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -11.52%E -5.01%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -17.79%E -5.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-21 14:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%2.24I 44.64%NM 38.36%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.28%16.4%2026-03-22 14:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 40.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 22.30%1.52I 65.79%NM 36.97%77.9%2026-03-22 20:50