The School of Odds
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York City v Exeter City

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

York City (Local)

Prediction 51.94%1.93fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%51.93%51.96%52.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.781.781.8557.14%56.05%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Exeter City (Visit)

Prediction 22.16%4.51fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%22.18%22.13%22.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.134.204.3025.64%24.24%23.81%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.90%3.86fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.37%25.89%25.91%26.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.563.553.7529.41%28.09%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: York City (Local): 51.94%; Exeter City (Visit): 22.16%; Draw: 25.90%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.87%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -3.91%E -2.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 19:34
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -4.95%E -2.71%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.87%E -0.767%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 19:34
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.47%E -3.01%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 19:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 18:59
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.51%E -3.62%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 19:35
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.08%EV -7.03%E -3.93%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.30%EV -7.37%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 19:19
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.62%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.71%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.59%EV -5.21%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 20:30
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -7.55%E -4.24%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.49%EV -5.72%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 19:19
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 19:34
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.52%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.05%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 22:31
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 19:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -8.07%E -4.56%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 19:24
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:19
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 19:23
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.11%E -5.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.57%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 50.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.94%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%16.3%2026-08-22 19:20

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