Language:English
York City v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
York City (Local)
Prediction 57.98%1.72fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.94%57.91%57.85%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6965.79%62.58%62.50%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 18.70%5.35fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +0.523%
Kelly +0.639%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.33%18.76%18.75%20.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.914.905.5022.22%20.35%20.41%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.31%4.29fair odd
EV +0.480%
Edge +0.111%
Kelly +0.145%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.88%23.32%23.40%25.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.924.3127.78%25.67%25.48%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: York City (Local): 57.98%; Exeter City (Visit): 18.70%; Draw: 23.31%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.88%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.17%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV +0.070%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +0.480%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.90%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.54% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |