Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

York City v Exeter City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Score final : York City 2–1 Exeter City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

York City (Local)

Prévision 57.98%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.94%57.91%57.85%60.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.601.601.6965.79%62.58%62.50%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Exeter City (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.70%5.35cote équitable
EV +2.88%
Avantage +0.523%
Kelly +0.639%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.33%18.76%18.75%20.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.914.905.5022.22%20.35%20.41%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.31%4.29cote équitable
EV +0.480%
Avantage +0.111%
Kelly +0.145%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.88%23.32%23.40%25.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.924.3127.78%25.67%25.48%23.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : York City (Local) : 57.98% ; Exeter City (Visiteur) : 18.70% ; Match nul : 23.31%. Pour Exeter City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.35. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.88%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.88%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.17%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV +0.070%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +0.480%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001%5.2%2026-08-29 13:50
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 13:49
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:49
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.90%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:34
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:45
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:49
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:05
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 09:39
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 10:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 10:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:44
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.54%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-08-29 13:55