Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

York City v Exeter City

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: York City 2–1 Exeter City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

York City (Local)

Previsão 57.98%1.72odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.91%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.94%57.91%57.85%60.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.601.601.6965.79%62.58%62.50%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Exeter City (Visitante)

Previsão 18.70%5.35odd justa
EV +2.88%
Vantagem +0.523%
Kelly +0.639%
Crescimento +0.018%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.33%18.76%18.75%20.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.914.905.5022.22%20.35%20.41%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.31%4.29odd justa
EV +0.480%
Vantagem +0.111%
Kelly +0.145%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.88%23.32%23.40%25.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.903.924.3127.78%25.67%25.48%23.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: York City (Local): 57.98%; Exeter City (Visitante): 18.70%; Empate: 23.31%. Para Exeter City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.35. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.88%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.88%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.17%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV +0.070%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +0.480%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001%5.2%2026-08-29 13:50
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 13:49
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:50
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 13:49
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.90%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:50
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:34
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:45
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 13:49
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:05
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 09:39
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-25 10:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-25 10:04
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 01:44
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.54%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%2.4%2026-08-29 13:55