Idioma:Español
York City v Exeter City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
York City (Local)
Predicción 57.98%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.94%57.91%57.85%60.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.601.601.6965.79%62.58%62.50%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Exeter City (Visitante)
Predicción 18.70%5.35momio equitativo
EV +2.88%
Ventaja +0.523%
Kelly +0.639%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.33%18.76%18.75%20.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.504.914.905.5022.22%20.35%20.41%18.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.31%4.29momio equitativo
EV +0.480%
Ventaja +0.111%
Kelly +0.145%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.88%23.32%23.40%25.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.924.3127.78%25.67%25.48%23.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: York City (Local): 57.98%; Exeter City (Visitante): 18.70%; Empate: 23.31%. Para Exeter City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.35. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.88%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.88%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.17%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV +0.070%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +0.480%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.90%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.54% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |