语言:简体中文
York City v Exeter City
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
York City (主队)
预测 57.98%1.72公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -2.91%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.69
博彩公司预测分布
54.94%57.91%57.85%60.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.601.601.6965.79%62.58%62.50%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
Exeter City (客队)
预测 18.70%5.35公平赔率
EV +2.88%
优势 +0.523%
Kelly +0.639%
增长率 +0.018%
假设最高赔率为 5.50
博彩公司预测分布
17.33%18.76%18.75%20.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.914.905.5022.22%20.35%20.41%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.31%4.29公平赔率
EV +0.480%
优势 +0.111%
Kelly +0.145%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 4.31
博彩公司预测分布
21.88%23.32%23.40%25.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.903.924.3127.78%25.67%25.48%23.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：York City (主队)：57.98%；Exeter City (客队)：18.70%；平局：23.31%。 对于“Exeter City (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.35。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.50，对应+2.88%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +2.88%E +0.523%K +0.639%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.17%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.77%EV +0.070%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV +0.480%E +0.111%K +0.145%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.15%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.67%EV -1.05%E -0.199%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.50%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -1.80%E -0.343%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.87%E -7.81%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -2.74%E -0.526%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -4.61%E -0.903%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.04%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.35%EV -5.54%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.04%EV -4.33%E -2.62%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.15%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.97%E -5.71%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.13%E -6.53%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.48%E -1.30%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -4.42%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.90%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.79%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.23%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.35%E -1.70%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.96%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -9.28%E -1.91%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -12.58%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -6.75%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -6.07%E -3.75%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.15%EV -7.81%E -4.91%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -9.55%E -6.12%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.22%E -2.13%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.18%EV -6.65%E -4.13%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.15%E -2.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 09:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.22%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -12.09%E -2.57%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -14.91%E -4.08%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.11%EV -8.39%E -5.31%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.27%EV -13.96%E -3.03%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -16.07%E -4.46%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-25 10:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.94%EV -2.01%E -1.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-25 01:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.23%E -4.52%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.83%E -3.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.54% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.75% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71% | 2.4% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |