Language:English
Walsall v Cheltenham Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Walsall (Local)
Prediction 53.22%1.88fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.11%53.19%53.19%55.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.79%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cheltenham Town (Visit)
Prediction 20.28%4.93fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.357%
Kelly +0.445%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 5.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.67%20.35%20.38%22.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.455.0225.00%22.71%22.47%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.422%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.51%26.45%26.43%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.403.7332.26%28.91%29.41%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Walsall (Local): 53.22%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 20.28%; Draw: 26.50%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.93. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV +1.79%E +0.357%K +0.445%G +0.008% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV +1.38%E +0.277%K +0.346%G +0.005% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.67%E -0.556%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -1.15%E -0.309%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.92%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -12.20%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.61% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |