L’École des cotes

Walsall v Cheltenham Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Score final : Walsall 0–4 Cheltenham Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Walsall (Local)

Prévision 53.22%1.88cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.11%53.19%53.19%55.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.79%57.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cheltenham Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.28%4.93cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.357%
Kelly +0.445%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.67%20.35%20.38%22.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.404.455.0225.00%22.71%22.47%19.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.50%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.422%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.51%26.45%26.43%27.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.403.7332.26%28.91%29.41%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV +1.79%E +0.357%K +0.445%G +0.008%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV +1.38%E +0.277%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:49
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.67%E -0.556%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -1.15%E -0.309%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:24
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.92%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:24
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 13:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:49
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:25
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:29
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:35
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:34
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -12.20%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:14
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.61%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%2.6%2026-04-11 13:50