A Escola das Odds

Walsall v Cheltenham Town

Início: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Final: Walsall 0–4 Cheltenham Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Walsall (Local)

Previsão 53.22%1.88odd justa
EV -2.60%
Vantagem -1.42%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.11%53.19%53.19%55.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.79%57.14%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cheltenham Town (Visitante)

Previsão 20.28%4.93odd justa
EV +1.79%
Vantagem +0.357%
Kelly +0.445%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.67%20.35%20.38%22.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.404.455.0225.00%22.71%22.47%19.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.50%3.77odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.309%
Kelly -0.422%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.51%26.45%26.43%27.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.463.403.7332.26%28.91%29.41%26.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV +1.79%E +0.357%K +0.445%G +0.008%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV +1.38%E +0.277%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:49
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.67%E -0.556%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -1.15%E -0.309%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:24
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.92%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:24
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 13:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:49
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:25
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:29
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:35
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:34
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -12.20%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:14
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.61%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%2.6%2026-04-11 13:50