مدرسة الاحتمالات

Walsall v Cheltenham Town

البداية: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Walsall 0–4 Cheltenham Town

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Walsall (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.22%1.88السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -1.42%
Kelly -3.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.11%53.19%53.19%55.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.79%57.14%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cheltenham Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.28%4.93السعر العادل
EV +1.79%
الأفضلية +0.357%
Kelly +0.445%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.67%20.35%20.38%22.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.404.455.0225.00%22.71%22.47%19.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.50%3.77السعر العادل
EV -1.15%
الأفضلية -0.309%
Kelly -0.422%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.51%26.45%26.43%27.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.463.403.7332.26%28.91%29.41%26.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV +1.79%E +0.357%K +0.445%G +0.008%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:54
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV +1.38%E +0.277%K +0.346%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:49
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.67%E -0.556%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -1.15%E -0.309%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:24
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:30
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:30
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 13:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:30
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.92%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 13:39
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 13:24
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 13:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 13:24
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 13:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:19
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 13:49
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 13:25
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 13:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:29
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 13:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:35
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 13:34
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -12.20%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 13:35
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:14
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:15
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 04:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.61%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27%1.5%2026-04-11 13:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%2.6%2026-04-11 13:50