La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Walsall v Cheltenham Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Walsall (Local)
Predicción 53.22%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.11%53.19%53.19%55.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8359.88%56.79%57.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cheltenham Town (Visitante)
Predicción 20.28%4.93momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.357%
Kelly +0.445%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.67%20.35%20.38%22.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.404.455.0225.00%22.71%22.47%19.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.50%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.422%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.51%26.45%26.43%27.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.403.7332.26%28.91%29.41%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV +1.79%E +0.357%K +0.445%G +0.008% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.48%EV -9.63%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 13:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV +1.38%E +0.277%K +0.346%G +0.005% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.82%EV -2.67%E -0.556%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.51%EV -1.15%E -0.309%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.81%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -3.68%E -0.776%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -5.92%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.92%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.35%EV -6.72%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -4.70%E -1.000%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -6.73%E -1.46%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.01%EV -4.20%E -2.33%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.95%E -0.526%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.52%EV -5.26%E -2.96%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.39%E -4.25%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -8.99%E -5.26%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -7.93%E -4.58%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.46%E -4.92%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -9.52%E -5.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -8.75%E -1.95%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.80%E -3.28%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:29 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:34 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.86%E -3.92%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -10.78%E -2.45%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.96%EV -11.12%E -6.66%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.04%EV -12.20%E -2.82%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.99%EV -17.85%E -5.76%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 13:35 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -2.60%E -1.42%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.90%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -3.67%E -2.03%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -18.89%E -4.72%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.61% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.42% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.27% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 13:50 |