Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tranmere Rovers v Swindon Town

Início: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Previsão 26.33%3.80odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.340%
Kelly -0.464%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.49%26.25%26.57%27.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.563.553.7530.30%28.13%28.17%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Swindon Town (Visitante)

Previsão 46.66%2.14odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.59%46.78%46.42%50.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.952.002.0955.56%51.25%50.00%47.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.01%3.70odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.385%
Kelly -0.530%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.17%26.97%27.01%28.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.87%28.57%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 26.33%; Swindon Town (Visitante): 46.66%; Empate: 27.01%. Para Tranmere Rovers (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -1.28%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.57%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:45
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -9.24%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.62%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Everygame🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:45
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.96%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-03-21 14:49