مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tranmere Rovers v Swindon Town

البداية: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 26.33%3.80السعر العادل
EV -1.28%
الأفضلية -0.340%
Kelly -0.464%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.49%26.25%26.57%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.563.553.7530.30%28.13%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Swindon Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.66%2.14السعر العادل
EV -2.48%
الأفضلية -1.19%
Kelly -2.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.59%46.78%46.42%50.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.952.002.0955.56%51.25%50.00%47.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.01%3.70السعر العادل
EV -1.41%
الأفضلية -0.385%
Kelly -0.530%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.17%26.97%27.01%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.87%28.57%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.57%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:45
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -9.24%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.62%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:45
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.96%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 14:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-03-21 14:49