La scuola delle quote

Tranmere Rovers v Swindon Town

Inizio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (Casa)

Previsione 26.33%3.80quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.340%
Kelly -0.464%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.49%26.25%26.57%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.563.553.7530.30%28.13%28.17%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Swindon Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.66%2.14quota equa
EV -2.48%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.59%46.78%46.42%50.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.952.002.0955.56%51.25%50.00%47.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.01%3.70quota equa
EV -1.41%
Vantaggio -0.385%
Kelly -0.530%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.17%26.97%27.01%28.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.87%28.57%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:29
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Pinnacle3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.57%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:45
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -9.24%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
DraftKings3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.62%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:45
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.96%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-03-21 14:49