Idioma:Español
Tranmere Rovers v Swindon Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tranmere Rovers (Local)
Predicción 26.33%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.340%
Kelly -0.464%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.49%26.25%26.57%27.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.553.7530.30%28.13%28.17%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Swindon Town (Visitante)
Predicción 46.66%2.14momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.59%46.78%46.42%50.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.952.002.0955.56%51.25%50.00%47.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.01%3.70momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.530%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.17%26.97%27.01%28.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.87%28.57%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 26.33%; Swindon Town (Visitante): 46.66%; Empate: 27.01%. Para Tranmere Rovers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.80. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -1.28%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.57%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -9.24%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.62%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.96%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |