L’École des cotesFrançais
Tranmere Rovers v Swindon Town
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tranmere Rovers (Local)
Prévision 26.33%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.340%
Kelly -0.464%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%26.25%26.57%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.553.7530.30%28.13%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Swindon Town (Visiteur)
Prévision 46.66%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.09
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%46.78%46.42%50.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.952.002.0955.56%51.25%50.00%47.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.01%3.70cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.530%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.17%26.97%27.01%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.87%28.57%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| BetRivers | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Casumo | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Grosvenor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| betPARX | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 03:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 03:55 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| theScore Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.57%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| 1xBet | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -9.24%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| DraftKings | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| NordicBet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.62%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 888sport | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bovada | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:53 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Fanatics | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Everygame | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.96%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91% | 0.4% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |