Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tranmere Rovers v Swindon Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prévision 26.33%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.340%
Kelly -0.464%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%26.25%26.57%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.563.553.7530.30%28.13%28.17%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Swindon Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.66%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.48%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.59%46.78%46.42%50.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.952.002.0955.56%51.25%50.00%47.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.01%3.70cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.530%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.17%26.97%27.01%28.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.503.6533.33%28.87%28.57%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tranmere Rovers (Local) : 26.33% ; Swindon Town (Visiteur) : 46.66% ; Match nul : 27.01%. Pour Tranmere Rovers (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -1.28% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:55
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -1.28%E -0.340%K -0.464%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -1.41%E -0.385%K -0.530%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 03:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -2.59%E -0.701%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -16.01%E -8.89%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 03:55
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.22%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Pinnacle🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.79%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.64%EV -2.48%E -1.19%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.57%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:45
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.28%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.87%EV -4.81%E -2.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.85%EV -9.24%E -2.75%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.54%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.46%E -1.56%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.86%E -2.24%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:49
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -2.94%E -1.42%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:45
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Marathon Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.84%EV -9.17%E -2.66%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.08%EV -6.21%E -3.09%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.62%E -2.23%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.76%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:53
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -8.08%E -4.10%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.51%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.49%E -3.09%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:40
Everygame🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -11.81%E -3.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 14:39
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -12.21%E -3.76%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:45
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.68%E -3.34%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -13.12%E -3.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -10.88%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.96%E -6.32%K -9.48%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-21 14:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75%2.4%2026-03-21 14:49