預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Swindon Town v Port Vale

開賽時間: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

最終賽果: Swindon Town 3–1 Port Vale

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

51 家博彩公司 (18 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Swindon Town (主隊)

預測 29.36%3.41公平賠率
EV -2.54%
優勢 -0.765%
Kelly -1.10%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.32

博彩公司預測分布
28.71%29.35%29.36%30.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.003.143.153.3233.33%31.84%31.75%30.12%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Port Vale (客隊)

預測 42.71%2.34公平賠率
EV -3.90%
優勢 -1.73%
Kelly -3.12%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.25

博彩公司預測分布
41.31%42.71%42.77%44.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.042.152.152.2549.02%46.41%46.51%44.44%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 27.93%3.58公平賠率
EV -2.24%
優勢 -0.639%
Kelly -0.894%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.50

博彩公司預測分布
26.62%27.94%27.88%28.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.203.293.253.5031.25%30.38%30.77%28.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Swindon Town (主隊):29.36%;Port Vale (客隊):42.71%;和局:27.93%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.58的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.50,期望值為-2.24%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (51 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -2.54%E -0.765%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%EV -6.46%E -2.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 17:45
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:35
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:19
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.69%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.26%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:43
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 17:45
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:39
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:09
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -11.59%E -5.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -12.01%E -5.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 14:44
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 18:33
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -9.02%E -4.24%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 14:44
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.80%EV -10.76%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -4.75%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:35
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:40
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35