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Swindon Town v Port Vale
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Swindon Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 29.36%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.54%
Преимущество -0.765%
Kelly -1.10%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.71%29.35%29.36%30.80%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.143.153.3233.33%31.84%31.75%30.12%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Port Vale (Гости)
Прогноз 42.71%2.34справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.90%
Преимущество -1.73%
Kelly -3.12%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.31%42.71%42.77%44.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.042.152.152.2549.02%46.41%46.51%44.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.93%3.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.24%
Преимущество -0.639%
Kelly -0.894%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.62%27.94%27.88%28.95%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.293.253.5031.25%30.38%30.77%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Swindon Town (Хозяева): 29.36%; Port Vale (Гости): 42.71%; Ничья: 27.93%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.58. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.50, математическое ожидание — -2.24%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -2.54%E -0.765%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%EV -6.46%E -2.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.69%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.26%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -11.59%E -5.60%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -12.01%E -5.83%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -9.02%E -4.24%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.80%EV -10.76%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -4.75%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |