StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swindon Town v Port Vale

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Swindon Town 3–1 Port Vale

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swindon Town (Hemma)

Prognos 29.36%3.41rättvist odds
EV -2.54%
Fördel -0.765%
Kelly -1.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.71%29.35%29.36%30.80%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.143.153.3233.33%31.84%31.75%30.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Port Vale (Borta)

Prognos 42.71%2.34rättvist odds
EV -3.90%
Fördel -1.73%
Kelly -3.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.31%42.71%42.77%44.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.042.152.152.2549.02%46.41%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.93%3.58rättvist odds
EV -2.24%
Fördel -0.639%
Kelly -0.894%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.62%27.94%27.88%28.95%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.293.253.5031.25%30.38%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Swindon Town (Hemma): 29.36%; Port Vale (Borta): 42.71%; Oavgjort: 27.93%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.58. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.50, med väntevärdet -2.24%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -2.54%E -0.765%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%EV -6.46%E -2.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 17:45
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:35
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:19
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.69%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.26%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:43
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 17:45
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:39
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:09
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -11.59%E -5.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -12.01%E -5.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 14:44
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 18:33
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -9.02%E -4.24%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 14:44
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.80%EV -10.76%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -4.75%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:35
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35