语言:简体中文
Swindon Town v Port Vale
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Swindon Town (主队)
预测 29.36%3.41公平赔率
EV -2.54%
优势 -0.765%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.32
博彩公司预测分布
28.71%29.35%29.36%30.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.143.153.3233.33%31.84%31.75%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
Port Vale (客队)
预测 42.71%2.34公平赔率
EV -3.90%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -3.12%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.25
博彩公司预测分布
41.31%42.71%42.77%44.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.152.152.2549.02%46.41%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.93%3.58公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -0.639%
Kelly -0.894%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.62%27.94%27.88%28.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.293.253.5031.25%30.38%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Swindon Town (主队)：29.36%；Port Vale (客队)：42.71%；平局：27.93%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.58。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.50，期望值为-2.24%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -2.54%E -0.765%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%EV -6.46%E -2.95%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.69%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.26%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 14:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -11.59%E -5.60%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -12.01%E -5.83%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -9.02%E -4.24%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.80%EV -10.76%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -4.75%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |