StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swindon Town v Port Vale

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Endstand: Swindon Town 3–1 Port Vale

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swindon Town (Heim)

Prognose 29.36%3.41faire Quote
EV -2.54%
Vorteil -0.765%
Kelly -1.10%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.32

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.71%29.35%29.36%30.80%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.143.153.3233.33%31.84%31.75%30.12%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Port Vale (Auswärts)

Prognose 42.71%2.34faire Quote
EV -3.90%
Vorteil -1.73%
Kelly -3.12%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.31%42.71%42.77%44.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.042.152.152.2549.02%46.41%46.51%44.44%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.93%3.58faire Quote
EV -2.24%
Vorteil -0.639%
Kelly -0.894%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.62%27.94%27.88%28.95%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.293.253.5031.25%30.38%30.77%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Swindon Town (Heim): 29.36%; Port Vale (Auswärts): 42.71%; Unentschieden: 27.93%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.58. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 3.50, bei einem Erwartungswert von -2.24%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.73%EV -2.54%E -0.765%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%EV -6.46%E -2.95%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.72%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.12%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 18:20
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:20
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 17:45
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:35
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:19
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.06%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.06%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-01 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.69%EV -7.31%E -3.37%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -7.26%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -5.18%E -2.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:44
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.53%E -2.39%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -11.16%E -5.36%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 14:43
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -8.41%E -2.70%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -3.90%E -1.73%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.24%E -0.639%K -0.894%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 17:45
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:39
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 18:39
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -10.30%E -4.91%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.44%E -6.07%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.03%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:09
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -11.59%E -5.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.22%E -2.84%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.00%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.32%EV -12.01%E -5.83%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 14:44
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.43%E -1.92%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.17%E -3.80%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 18:33
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -9.02%E -4.24%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.37%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.36%EV -12.87%E -6.31%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 14:44
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.80%EV -10.76%E -3.54%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.98%EV -4.75%E -2.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -3.91%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:35
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.93%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.03%E -2.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.62%E -3.32%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:35