Language:English
Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swindon Town (Local)
Prediction 45.58%2.19fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%45.59%45.71%47.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fleetwood Town (Visit)
Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.618%
Kelly -0.856%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.04%27.09%27.05%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.13%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.26%3.67fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.519%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.91%27.32%27.24%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.353.6033.33%29.69%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swindon Town (Local): 45.58%; Fleetwood Town (Visit): 27.16%; Draw: 27.26%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.35%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.72%EV -6.77%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 03:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-23 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.23%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 21:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 09:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 04:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 12:12 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-23 16:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.75%E -4.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.22%E -6.07%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |