L’École des cotesFrançais
Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Swindon Town (Local)
Prévision 45.58%2.19cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.21%45.59%45.71%47.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Fleetwood Town (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.16%3.68cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.618%
Kelly -0.856%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.04%27.09%27.05%27.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.13%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.26%3.67cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.519%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.91%27.32%27.24%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.353.6033.33%29.69%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.35%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.72%EV -6.77%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 03:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 12:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-23 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.23%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 21:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 09:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 04:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 12:12 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-23 16:40 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.75%E -4.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.22%E -6.07%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |