Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town

Início: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Swindon Town (Local)

Previsão 45.58%2.19odd justa
EV -4.28%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -3.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.21%45.59%45.71%47.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fleetwood Town (Visitante)

Previsão 27.16%3.68odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -0.618%
Kelly -0.856%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.04%27.09%27.05%27.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.13%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.26%3.67odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.519%
Kelly -0.718%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.91%27.32%27.24%28.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.373.353.6033.33%29.69%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Swindon Town (Local): 45.58%; Fleetwood Town (Visitante): 27.16%; Empate: 27.26%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.67. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -1.87%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.35%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.72%EV -6.77%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 18:19
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 18:19
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 03:40
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 03:39
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 11:34
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 13:35
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 11:34
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:09
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:05
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 12:10
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-23 11:59
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 13:35
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.23%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 21:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 09:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 09:54
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 04:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-25 03:39
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 12:12
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 12:14
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 22:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-23 16:40
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 23:44
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.75%E -4.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 14:34
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:20
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.22%E -6.07%K -9.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-27 09:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-03-28 02:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-03-27 22:45