La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swindon Town (Local)
Predicción 45.58%2.19momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.21%45.59%45.71%47.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fleetwood Town (Visitante)
Predicción 27.16%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -0.618%
Kelly -0.856%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.04%27.09%27.05%27.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.13%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.26%3.67momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.519%
Kelly -0.718%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.91%27.32%27.24%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.353.6033.33%29.69%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-27 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.35%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.72%EV -6.77%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 03:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 20:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-23 11:34 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-26 20:05 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 12:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-23 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.23%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-26 21:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-24 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-24 09:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-25 04:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-25 03:39 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 12:12 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 22:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-23 16:40 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-27 23:44 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.75%E -4.92%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-27 14:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-24 10:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-27 21:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.22%E -6.07%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.28% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54% | 2.3% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |