مدرسة الاحتمالات

Swindon Town v Fleetwood Town

البداية: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Swindon Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.58%2.19السعر العادل
EV -4.28%
الأفضلية -2.04%
Kelly -3.89%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.21%45.59%45.71%47.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.66%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fleetwood Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.16%3.68السعر العادل
EV -2.23%
الأفضلية -0.618%
Kelly -0.856%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.04%27.09%27.05%27.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.433.453.6030.30%29.13%28.99%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.26%3.67السعر العادل
EV -1.87%
الأفضلية -0.519%
Kelly -0.718%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.91%27.32%27.24%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.373.353.6033.33%29.69%29.85%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -4.28%E -2.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 15:00
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 45.35%EV -4.73%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -4.40%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.72%EV -6.77%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 15:30
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 18:19
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.19%E -2.50%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 18:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 20:04
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 19:25
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 03:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-25 03:39
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 11:34
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -6.30%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.56%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 13:35
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-23 11:34
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:09
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:09
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-26 20:05
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.05%E -3.04%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 12:10
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-23 11:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.56%E -3.20%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-27 19:40
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 03:05
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 45.92%EV -7.01%E -3.44%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.00%EV -5.76%E -1.66%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.08%EV -5.68%E -1.64%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-28 03:05
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.47%E -3.68%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.57%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.86%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 13:35
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.23%E -0.618%K -0.856%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-26 21:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.59%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-24 10:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -1.87%E -0.519%K -0.718%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 15:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 09:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-24 09:54
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 04:00
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.66%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-25 03:39
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 12:12
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.02%E -2.69%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 12:14
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 22:09
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-23 16:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.84%E -4.42%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -12.77%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-27 23:44
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -9.75%E -4.92%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-24 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.32%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-27 14:34
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -10.20%E -5.18%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-24 10:09
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:20
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.62%EV -10.66%E -5.44%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 21:20
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -11.12%E -5.70%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -4.94%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.68%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-27 21:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.94%E -6.77%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.22%E -6.07%K -9.11%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-27 09:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.28%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-03-28 02:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.68%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.78%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.54%2.3%2026-03-27 22:45