Language:English
Swindon Town v Cheltenham Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swindon Town (Local)
Prediction 47.61%2.10fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.69%47.87%47.61%51.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.901.952.0058.14%52.60%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cheltenham Town (Visit)
Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.396%
Kelly +0.528%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.65%25.17%25.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.753.704.0028.57%26.70%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.99%3.70fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%26.97%26.98%28.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.433.453.6030.77%29.15%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swindon Town (Local): 47.61%; Cheltenham Town (Visit): 25.40%; Draw: 26.99%. For Cheltenham Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27%EV -16.68%E -9.53%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -17.16%E -9.86%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -12.87%E -7.03%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.15%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.72%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.11%E -4.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |