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Swindon Town v Cheltenham Town
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Swindon Town (Хозяева)
Прогноз 47.61%2.10справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.78%
Преимущество -2.39%
Kelly -4.78%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.69%47.87%47.61%51.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.901.952.0058.14%52.60%51.28%50.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cheltenham Town (Гости)
Прогноз 25.40%3.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.58%
Преимущество +0.396%
Kelly +0.528%
Рост +0.008%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.65%25.17%25.41%26.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.753.704.0028.57%26.70%27.03%25.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.99%3.70справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.83%
Преимущество -0.785%
Kelly -1.09%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.88%26.97%26.98%28.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.433.453.6030.77%29.15%28.99%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Swindon Town (Хозяева): 47.61%; Cheltenham Town (Гости): 25.40%; Ничья: 26.99%. Для исхода «Cheltenham Town (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.94. 11 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +1.58%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27%EV -16.68%E -9.53%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -17.16%E -9.86%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -12.87%E -7.03%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.15%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.72%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.11%E -4.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |