语言:简体中文
Swindon Town v Cheltenham Town
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Swindon Town (主队)
预测 47.61%2.10公平赔率
EV -4.78%
优势 -2.39%
Kelly -4.78%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
46.69%47.87%47.61%51.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.901.952.0058.14%52.60%51.28%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cheltenham Town (客队)
预测 25.40%3.94公平赔率
EV +1.58%
优势 +0.396%
Kelly +0.528%
增长率 +0.008%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
22.65%25.17%25.41%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.753.704.0028.57%26.70%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.99%3.70公平赔率
EV -2.83%
优势 -0.785%
Kelly -1.09%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.88%26.97%26.98%28.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.433.453.6030.77%29.15%28.99%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Swindon Town (主队)：47.61%；Cheltenham Town (客队)：25.40%；平局：26.99%。 对于“Cheltenham Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.94。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+1.58%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27%EV -16.68%E -9.53%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -17.16%E -9.86%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -12.87%E -7.03%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 07:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.15%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.72%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 09:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 09:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 09:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.11%E -4.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 09:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 09:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |