StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swindon Town v Cheltenham Town

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Endstand: Swindon Town 2–1 Cheltenham Town

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Swindon Town (Heim)

Prognose 47.61%2.10faire Quote
EV -4.78%
Vorteil -2.39%
Kelly -4.78%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.69%47.87%47.61%51.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.721.901.952.0058.14%52.60%51.28%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cheltenham Town (Auswärts)

Prognose 25.40%3.94faire Quote
EV +1.58%
Vorteil +0.396%
Kelly +0.528%
Wachstum +0.008%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.65%25.17%25.41%26.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.503.753.704.0028.57%26.70%27.03%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.99%3.70faire Quote
EV -2.83%
Vorteil -0.785%
Kelly -1.09%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.88%26.97%26.98%28.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.253.433.453.6030.77%29.15%28.99%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Swindon Town (Heim): 47.61%; Cheltenham Town (Auswärts): 25.40%; Unentschieden: 26.99%. Für Cheltenham Town (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.94. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +1.58%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:04
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:04
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:04
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.47%EV -16.20%E -9.21%K -21.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV +1.58%E +0.396%K +0.528%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 07:04
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.27%EV -16.68%E -9.53%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.72%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.42%EV -17.16%E -9.86%K -23.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV +0.315%E +0.080%K +0.107%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -12.87%E -7.03%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 07:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.36%EV -18.11%E -10.53%K -25.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -0.955%E -0.245%K -0.329%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 07:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.34%EV -6.21%E -3.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.61%EV -1.72%E -0.444%K -0.598%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.05%EV -4.99%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 12:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 12:09
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.49%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.23%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:13
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 09:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.60%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 09:05
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:50
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:04
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 09:04
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 09:04
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.92%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.94%EV -5.25%E -2.64%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 09:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 09:30
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.78%E -2.39%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 09:29
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:30
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.73%E -2.89%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 09:04
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 12:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:53
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 09:10
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 12:24
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -8.59%E -4.47%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.27%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.11%E -4.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -9.84%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 09:24
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.16%E -3.67%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 09:30
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -9.06%E -4.74%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.11%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 09:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%0.6%2026-08-22 13:50