Language:English
Salford City v Swindon Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 60.46%1.65fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -7.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.15%60.33%60.47%61.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.551.5867.57%64.67%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Swindon Town (Visit)
Prediction 17.96%5.57fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.222%
Kelly -0.271%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.68%17.98%17.95%19.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.135.105.5020.83%19.50%19.61%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.58%4.63fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -0.827%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.41%21.68%21.58%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.224.254.5025.97%23.71%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 60.46%; Swindon Town (Visit): 17.96%; Draw: 21.58%. For Swindon Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.50, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -6.13%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 07:48 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 17:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 17:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 17:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-17 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-17 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-17 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-17 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-17 11:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.37I 18.62%NM 17.58%EV -3.56%E -0.662%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -3.54%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 15:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-18 15:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 07:26 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-17 17:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.46%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 11:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-17 17:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-17 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-17 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-17 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.92%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-17 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-17 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-17 11:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 14:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-17 11:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-17 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-17 11:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.12% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.16% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.73% | 2.3% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.63% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05% | 3.1% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |