L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Salford City v Swindon Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Score final : Salford City 1–0 Swindon Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 60.46%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -7.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.15%60.33%60.47%61.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.551.5867.57%64.67%64.52%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Swindon Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.96%5.57cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.271%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.68%17.98%17.95%19.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.135.105.5020.83%19.50%19.61%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.58%4.63cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.644%
Kelly -0.827%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.41%21.68%21.58%23.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.224.254.5025.97%23.71%23.53%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Salford City (Local) : 60.46% ; Swindon Town (Visiteur) : 17.96% ; Match nul : 21.58%. Pour Swindon Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 5.50, pour une espérance de -1.22% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -6.13%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 07:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 17:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 17:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 11:01
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.58%EV -3.56%E -0.662%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -3.54%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:27
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:29
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 07:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.46%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 11:01
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 17:54
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 11:00
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-17 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.92%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 11:01
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-17 11:01
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 11:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 13:45
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.12%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.73%2.3%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%3.1%2026-09-18 14:20