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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Salford City v Swindon Town

Início: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Salford City 1–0 Swindon Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Salford City (Local)

Previsão 60.46%1.65odd justa
EV -4.47%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -7.71%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.15%60.33%60.47%61.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.551.551.5867.57%64.67%64.52%63.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Swindon Town (Visitante)

Previsão 17.96%5.57odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.222%
Kelly -0.271%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.68%17.98%17.95%19.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.805.135.105.5020.83%19.50%19.61%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.58%4.63odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -0.644%
Kelly -0.827%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.41%21.68%21.58%23.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.224.254.5025.97%23.71%23.53%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Salford City (Local): 60.46%; Swindon Town (Visitante): 17.96%; Empate: 21.58%. Para Swindon Town (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.57. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.50, com valor esperado de -1.22%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -6.13%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 07:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 17:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 17:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 11:01
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.58%EV -3.56%E -0.662%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -3.54%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:27
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:29
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 07:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.46%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 11:01
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 17:54
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 11:00
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-17 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.92%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 11:01
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-17 11:01
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 11:01
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 13:45
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.12%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.73%2.3%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%3.1%2026-09-18 14:20