Szkoła Kursówodds.school
Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Salford City v Swindon Town

Początek: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Salford City 1–0 Swindon Town

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Salford City (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 60.46%1.65kurs godziwy
EV -4.47%
Przewaga -2.83%
Kelly -7.71%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.58

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.15%60.33%60.47%61.99%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.481.551.551.5867.57%64.67%64.52%63.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Swindon Town (Goście)

Prognoza 17.96%5.57kurs godziwy
EV -1.22%
Przewaga -0.222%
Kelly -0.271%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.68%17.98%17.95%19.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.805.135.105.5020.83%19.50%19.61%18.18%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.58%4.63kurs godziwy
EV -2.90%
Przewaga -0.644%
Kelly -0.827%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.41%21.68%21.58%23.44%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.854.224.254.5025.97%23.71%23.53%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Salford City (Gospodarze): 60.46%; Swindon Town (Goście): 17.96%; Remis: 21.58%. Dla wyniku Swindon Town (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.57. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 5.50, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.22%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -6.13%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -4.47%E -2.83%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 00:20
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 07:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 17:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 17:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-17 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 17:45
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -8.41%E -1.65%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:20
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -5.08%E -3.23%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.69%E -3.42%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-17 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.64%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 11:01
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 12:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -6.28%E -4.05%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -3.02%E -0.559%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -12.61%E -3.11%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.30%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.58%EV -3.56%E -0.662%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -3.54%E -0.793%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:27
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 15:29
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.71%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 07:26
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.53%E -2.81%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-17 17:45
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.46%EV -6.89%E -4.47%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 11:01
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-17 17:54
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 11:00
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-17 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.61%EV -7.49%E -4.90%K -14.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -14.76%E -3.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-17 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.10%E -5.33%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -16.92%E -4.40%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.97%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.37%EV -4.81%E -0.908%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 18:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.70%E -5.76%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 11:01
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.37%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.70%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -5.05%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 14:49
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.90%E -0.644%K -0.827%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -8.29%E -1.95%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-17 11:01
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.56%E -1.52%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-17 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.21%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 14:15
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -10.52%E -7.11%K -21.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -9.37%E -2.23%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-17 11:01
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-09-18 13:45
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.12%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.16%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.73%2.3%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%3.1%2026-09-18 14:20