语言:简体中文
Salford City v Newport County
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Salford City (主队)
预测 65.77%1.52公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -1.79%
Kelly -5.53%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.48
博彩公司预测分布
61.45%65.64%65.85%67.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.24%70.42%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
Newport County (客队)
预测 14.46%6.92公平赔率
EV +2.78%
优势 +0.392%
Kelly +0.456%
增长率 +0.013%
假设最高赔率为 7.11
博彩公司预测分布
13.27%14.53%14.39%16.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.306.146.107.1118.87%16.28%16.39%14.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.77%5.06公平赔率
EV +0.030%
优势 +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.06
博彩公司预测分布
18.50%19.83%19.76%21.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.554.505.0624.39%21.98%22.22%19.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Salford City (主队)：65.77%；Newport County (客队)：14.46%；平局：19.77%。 对于“Newport County (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.92。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.11，对应+2.78%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.86%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.36%EV +2.78%E +0.392%K +0.456%G +0.013% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV +0.030%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.83%EV -0.395%E -0.057%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.09%EV -1.35%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.65%E -1.79%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.01%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.94%E -4.16%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |