Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Salford City v Newport County

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Salford City 2–1 Newport County

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Salford City (Local)

Prévision 65.77%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.79%
Kelly -5.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.45%65.64%65.85%67.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.24%70.42%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Newport County (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.46%6.92cote équitable
EV +2.78%
Avantage +0.392%
Kelly +0.456%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 7.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.27%14.53%14.39%16.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.306.146.107.1118.87%16.28%16.39%14.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.77%5.06cote équitable
EV +0.030%
Avantage +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.50%19.83%19.76%21.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.554.505.0624.39%21.98%22.22%19.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Salford City (Local) : 65.77% ; Newport County (Visiteur) : 14.46% ; Match nul : 19.77%. Pour Newport County (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.92. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.11, soit une espérance positive de +2.78%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.86%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.36%EV +2.78%E +0.392%K +0.456%G +0.013%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV +0.030%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:28
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.83%EV -0.395%E -0.057%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.09%EV -1.35%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.65%E -1.79%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:33
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.01%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:28
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.94%E -4.16%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30