Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Salford City v Newport County

Początek: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Salford City 2–1 Newport County

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Salford City (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 65.77%1.52kurs godziwy
EV -2.65%
Przewaga -1.79%
Kelly -5.53%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.48

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
61.45%65.64%65.85%67.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.24%70.42%67.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Newport County (Goście)

Prognoza 14.46%6.92kurs godziwy
EV +2.78%
Przewaga +0.392%
Kelly +0.456%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.11

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.27%14.53%14.39%16.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.306.146.107.1118.87%16.28%16.39%14.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 19.77%5.06kurs godziwy
EV +0.030%
Przewaga +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.06

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.50%19.83%19.76%21.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.104.554.505.0624.39%21.98%22.22%19.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Salford City (Gospodarze): 65.77%; Newport County (Goście): 14.46%; Remis: 19.77%. Dla wyniku Newport County (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.92. 6 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 7.11, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.78%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.86%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.36%EV +2.78%E +0.392%K +0.456%G +0.013%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV +0.030%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:28
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.83%EV -0.395%E -0.057%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.09%EV -1.35%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.65%E -1.79%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:33
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.01%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:28
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.94%E -4.16%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30