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Salford City v Newport County
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Salford City (Хозяева)
Прогноз 65.77%1.52справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.65%
Преимущество -1.79%
Kelly -5.53%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.48
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
61.45%65.64%65.85%67.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.24%70.42%67.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Newport County (Гости)
Прогноз 14.46%6.92справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.78%
Преимущество +0.392%
Kelly +0.456%
Рост +0.013%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.11
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.27%14.53%14.39%16.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.306.146.107.1118.87%16.28%16.39%14.06%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.77%5.06справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.030%
Преимущество +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.06
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.50%19.83%19.76%21.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.104.554.505.0624.39%21.98%22.22%19.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Salford City (Хозяева): 65.77%; Newport County (Гости): 14.46%; Ничья: 19.77%. Для исхода «Newport County (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.92. 6 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.11, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.78%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.86%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.36%EV +2.78%E +0.392%K +0.456%G +0.013% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV +0.030%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.83%EV -0.395%E -0.057%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.09%EV -1.35%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-01 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.65%E -1.79%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.01%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:28 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.94%E -4.16%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63% | 1.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |