StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Salford City v Newport County

Matchstart: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Salford City 2–1 Newport County

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Salford City (Hemma)

Prognos 65.77%1.52rättvist odds
EV -2.65%
Fördel -1.79%
Kelly -5.53%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
61.45%65.64%65.85%67.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.24%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Newport County (Borta)

Prognos 14.46%6.92rättvist odds
EV +2.78%
Fördel +0.392%
Kelly +0.456%
Tillväxt +0.013%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.27%14.53%14.39%16.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.306.146.107.1118.87%16.28%16.39%14.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.77%5.06rättvist odds
EV +0.030%
Fördel +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.06

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.50%19.83%19.76%21.73%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.104.554.505.0624.39%21.98%22.22%19.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Salford City (Hemma): 65.77%; Newport County (Borta): 14.46%; Oavgjort: 19.77%. För Newport County (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.92. 6 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.11, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.78%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.86%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.36%EV +2.78%E +0.392%K +0.456%G +0.013%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV +0.030%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:28
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.83%EV -0.395%E -0.057%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.09%EV -1.35%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.65%E -1.79%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:33
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.01%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:28
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.94%E -4.16%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30