Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Salford City v Newport County

Inizio: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Finale: Salford City 2–1 Newport County

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Salford City (Casa)

Previsione 65.77%1.52quota equa
EV -2.65%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -5.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.45%65.64%65.85%67.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.421.421.4873.53%70.24%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Newport County (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.46%6.92quota equa
EV +2.78%
Vantaggio +0.392%
Kelly +0.456%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.27%14.53%14.39%16.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.306.146.107.1118.87%16.28%16.39%14.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 19.77%5.06quota equa
EV +0.030%
Vantaggio +0.006%
Kelly +0.007%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.50%19.83%19.76%21.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.104.554.505.0624.39%21.98%22.22%19.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Salford City (Casa): 65.77%; Newport County (Trasferta): 14.46%; Pareggio: 19.77%. Per Newport County (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.92. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.11, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.78%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.86%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.36%EV +2.78%E +0.392%K +0.456%G +0.013%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.78%EV +0.030%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:28
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV +1.19%E +0.171%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-01 18:35
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.83%EV -0.395%E -0.057%K -0.067%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.09%EV -1.35%E -0.271%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -1.70%E -0.249%K -0.293%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -14.99%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-01 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:30
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -9.23%E -6.69%K -24.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.89%E -7.22%K -26.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -3.13%E -0.639%K -0.803%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.55%E -7.75%K -29.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -6.03%E -0.928%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.36%EV -6.76%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -8.08%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -2.65%E -1.79%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -7.26%E -5.15%K -17.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:33
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -14.01%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.52%EV -8.57%E -6.17%K -21.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.69%EV -10.37%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.06%E -1.97%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -5.11%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -6.10%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:28
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -1.16%E -0.231%K -0.289%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.94%E -4.16%K -13.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.92%E -5.65%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -13.26%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.04%E -2.45%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -6.60%E -4.65%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.93%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -13.02%E -2.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -3.31%E -2.25%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -21.94%E -4.06%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -16.97%E -4.04%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 15:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -4.63%E -3.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 15:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -23.38%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -18.95%E -4.62%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-01 15:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.65%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.63%1.2%2026-09-01 18:30