Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Salford City v Newport County

2026-09-01 18:45 UTC — League 2

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Salford City (Casa)

Previsione 60.47%1.65quota equa
EV -5.06%
Vantaggio -3.22%
Kelly -8.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.88%60.37%60.63%61.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.531.531.5766.67%65.41%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Newport County (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.00%5.88quota equa
EV -2.27%
Vantaggio -0.395%
Kelly -0.478%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.15%17.06%16.89%18.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.405.505.7520.00%18.53%18.18%17.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.53%4.44quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -0.564%
Kelly -0.734%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.66%22.57%22.49%23.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.074.104.3325.97%24.56%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Salford City (Casa): 60.47%; Newport County (Trasferta): 17.00%; Pareggio: 22.53%. Per Newport County (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.88. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 5.75, con un valore atteso del -2.27%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 17:34
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -10.77%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.27%E -0.395%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 17:34
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 17:35
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -10.77%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 18:23
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.07%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.50%EV -9.58%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 17:30
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 17:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -2.27%E -0.395%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.67%EV -6.87%E -4.46%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.87%EV -5.84%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.46%EV -6.27%E -1.51%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -2.44%E -0.564%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.53%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.15%EV -8.22%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -6.50%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 17:34
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.77%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 17:34
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -10.77%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 18:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.02%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 19:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.02%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.02%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 19:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.02%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.13%E -3.11%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 19:50
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.08%E -5.32%K -15.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -10.77%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.26%E -3.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-29 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -3.12%E -0.548%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 18:59
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.37%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 17:34
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.63%E -1.86%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 17:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -4.82%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 16:40
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:28
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.52%E -1.19%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 17:28
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -8.22%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.88%E -2.47%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 17:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%15.5%2026-08-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%15.5%2026-08-29 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.92%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%15.5%2026-08-29 19:35
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 59.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%16.1%2026-08-29 19:50