Language:English
Port Vale v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -4.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.59%46.27%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.942.002.0557.14%51.51%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV +6.67%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.143%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.00%25.74%26.03%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.604.1029.41%27.10%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.68%3.61fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.891%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%27.67%27.70%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.11%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 46.30%; Exeter City (Visit): 26.02%; Draw: 27.68%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -17.58%E -9.88%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -18.04%E -10.19%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -12.02%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.14%E -0.299%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.78%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.56%E -6.05%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.96%EV -6.60%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.90%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.94%EV -5.54%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.89%EV -6.99%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 06:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.17%E -5.24%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |