StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Port Vale v Exeter City

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Port Vale 1–0 Exeter City

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Port Vale (Hemma)

Prognos 46.30%2.16rättvist odds
EV -5.08%
Fördel -2.48%
Kelly -4.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.31%46.59%46.27%50.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.751.942.002.0557.14%51.51%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Exeter City (Borta)

Prognos 26.02%3.84rättvist odds
EV +6.67%
Fördel +1.63%
Kelly +2.15%
Tillväxt +0.143%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.00%25.74%26.03%26.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.693.604.1029.41%27.10%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.68%3.61rättvist odds
EV -3.12%
Fördel -0.891%
Kelly -1.25%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.87%27.67%27.70%28.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.11%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Port Vale (Hemma): 46.30%; Exeter City (Borta): 26.02%; Oavgjort: 27.68%. För Exeter City (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.84. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +6.67%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:40
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -17.58%E -9.88%K -22.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -18.04%E -10.19%K -23.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 05:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 05:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -12.02%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.14%E -0.299%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 21:24
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 20:35
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.78%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 20:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.56%E -6.05%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 12:05
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.96%EV -6.60%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.90%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.94%EV -5.54%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.89%EV -6.99%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 08:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 13:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 13:19
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:32
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 06:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 06:49
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.17%E -5.24%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 08:35
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 15:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 15:15
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%5.5%2026-09-09 17:40