默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Port Vale v Exeter City

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Port Vale 1–0 Exeter City

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Port Vale (主队)

预测 46.30%2.16公平赔率
EV -5.08%
优势 -2.48%
Kelly -4.84%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.31%46.59%46.27%50.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.751.942.002.0557.14%51.51%50.00%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Exeter City (客队)

预测 26.02%3.84公平赔率
EV +6.67%
优势 +1.63%
Kelly +2.15%
增长率 +0.143%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.00%25.74%26.03%26.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.693.604.1029.41%27.10%27.78%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.68%3.61公平赔率
EV -3.12%
优势 -0.891%
Kelly -1.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
26.87%27.67%27.70%28.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.11%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Port Vale (主队):46.30%;Exeter City (客队):26.02%;平局:27.68%。 对于“Exeter City (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.84。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.10,对应+6.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:40
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 05:39
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -17.58%E -9.88%K -22.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-08 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -18.04%E -10.19%K -23.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 05:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 05:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 05:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -12.02%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.14%E -0.299%K -0.406%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-09 16:25
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 21:24
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-08 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 14:05
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 20:35
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-09 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.78%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 20:35
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 16:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-07 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.56%E -6.05%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 12:05
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 25.96%EV -6.60%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.90%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.94%EV -5.54%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.89%EV -6.99%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 08:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 17:29
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 13:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:10
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 13:19
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:32
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 06:50
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 06:49
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 09:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.17%E -5.24%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:30
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 08:35
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 15:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 15:15
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-09-09 17:25
Smarkets◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%5.5%2026-09-09 17:40