Idioma:Español
Port Vale v Exeter City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 46.30%2.16momio equitativo
EV -5.08%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -4.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%46.59%46.27%50.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.751.942.002.0557.14%51.51%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Exeter City (Visitante)
Predicción 26.02%3.84momio equitativo
EV +6.67%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.143%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.00%25.74%26.03%26.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.604.1029.41%27.10%27.78%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.68%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -0.891%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%27.67%27.70%28.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.11%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Port Vale (Local): 46.30%; Exeter City (Visitante): 26.02%; Empate: 27.68%. Para Exeter City (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.84. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.67%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -17.58%E -9.88%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -18.04%E -10.19%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -12.02%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.14%E -0.299%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.78%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.56%E -6.05%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.96%EV -6.60%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.90%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.94%EV -5.54%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.89%EV -6.99%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 06:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.17%E -5.24%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |