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Port Vale v Exeter City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Port Vale (Хозяева)
Прогноз 46.30%2.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.08%
Преимущество -2.48%
Kelly -4.84%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
45.31%46.59%46.27%50.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.751.942.002.0557.14%51.51%50.00%48.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Exeter City (Гости)
Прогноз 26.02%3.84справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.67%
Преимущество +1.63%
Kelly +2.15%
Рост +0.143%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.00%25.74%26.03%26.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.403.693.604.1029.41%27.10%27.78%24.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.68%3.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.12%
Преимущество -0.891%
Kelly -1.25%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.87%27.67%27.70%28.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.11%30.30%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Port Vale (Хозяева): 46.30%; Exeter City (Гости): 26.02%; Ничья: 27.68%. Для исхода «Exeter City (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.84. 13 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 4.10, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.67%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (52 букмекерские конторы)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -17.12%E -9.56%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.67%EV -17.58%E -9.88%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV +6.67%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -18.04%E -10.19%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -18.97%E -10.84%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV +4.07%E +1.02%K +1.36%G +0.055% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -12.02%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -1.14%E -0.299%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.44%E -0.650%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 21:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.12%E -0.891%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.96%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.78%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-08 20:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.56%E -6.05%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-07 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 25.96%EV -6.60%E -1.84%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.90%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.94%EV -5.54%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.18%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.89%EV -6.99%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.35%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.86%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -7.55%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.32%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -7.64%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 13:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-08 13:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 16:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.65%E -2.62%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 06:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.42%E -3.57%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -10.17%E -5.24%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.94%E -2.55%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-08 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -10.24%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.04%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 08:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -7.27%E -2.17%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.45% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |